Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007055 0.008251 0.009675 0.011520 0.013884 0.016867 0.021007
2025-04-20 0.005708 0.007215 0.009222 0.012188 0.016640 0.023412 0.035277
2025-04-27 0.004909 0.006525 0.008847 0.012611 0.018980 0.030287 0.054881
2025-05-04 0.004277 0.005890 0.008336 0.012589 0.020499 0.036511 0.079208
2025-05-11 0.003812 0.005401 0.007918 0.012556 0.021927 0.043355 0.113850
2025-05-18 0.003401 0.004922 0.007413 0.012221 0.022611 0.048997 0.155037
2025-05-25 0.003027 0.004451 0.006841 0.011615 0.022489 0.052572 0.197206
2025-06-01 0.002746 0.004095 0.006414 0.011199 0.022663 0.057232 0.259801
2025-06-08 0.002598 0.003946 0.006331 0.011465 0.024626 0.069414 0.429007
2025-06-15 0.002422 0.003727 0.006087 0.011332 0.025495 0.078670 0.653227
2025-06-22 0.002217 0.003438 0.005675 0.010741 0.024863 0.081302 0.836266
2025-06-29 0.002090 0.003277 0.005492 0.010647 0.025713 0.091989 1.384864
2025-07-06 0.001993 0.003176 0.005439 0.010923 0.028124 0.116265 3.877940
2025-07-13 0.001931 0.003133 0.005504 0.011528 0.032137 0.161731 34.844156
2025-07-20 0.001856 0.003057 0.005487 0.011919 0.035701 0.218747 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001758 0.002927 0.005335 0.011899 0.037622 0.271139 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001670 0.002807 0.005190 0.011868 0.039549 0.338221 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001573 0.002661 0.004967 0.011558 0.039982 0.389757 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001469 0.002494 0.004681 0.010996 0.038851 0.409373 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001384 0.002361 0.004462 0.010610 0.038516 0.450417 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001343 0.002315 0.004441 0.010857 0.041971 0.638718 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001285 0.002228 0.004315 0.010733 0.043199 0.792674 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001209 0.002100 0.004076 0.010184 0.041422 0.800338 NaN